Market Analysis

FTSE breaks out on impressive NFP beat

Following the publication of another impressive US jobs report, risk assets have extended their gains with European and US indices rising sharply. In case you haven’t seen the headlines, a good 4.8 million non-farm jobs were added in June with the unemployment rate falling to 11.1% from 13.3%. What’s more, the prior month saw an …

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EUR/USD in reversal as dollar comes back to life

Following Thursday’s big falls for equities (because of concerns over economic recovery and new infections), the dollar has come back to life on haven flows. With the dollar extending its gains this late in the day on Friday, it looks set to extend its advance against the likes of the euro and pound next week. …

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GBP/USD heading to +1.26?

The Cable continues to show constructive price action as the dollar continues to weaken on reduced haven flows. Similar price action has been observable on the other major pairs with the EUR/USD breaking higher and USD/CAD lower etc. Have a look at this chart of the cable: The GBP/USD has now broken it bearish trend …

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Will gold hold THIS pivotal level?

Gold has been stuck in an ugly range for several weeks now. But more recently, the pressure has been growing for a downside breakdown as stocks surged on lockdown easing hopes and amid central bank support. Today, the metal was testing a key support level, and traders were wondering whether support will hold given the …

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AUD/JPY hits key resistance

The risk-sensitive AUD/JPY turned lower from a key resistance range in overnight trading, mirroring the price action on Wall Street where US stock indices gave up earlier gains to close at their lows Tuesday evening. The AUD/JPY has now for the second time in as many weeks failed to break thru the prior long-term support …

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Crude oil likely bottomed amid OPEC+ historic deal

Crude oil prices jumped 5% at the Asian open then fell around 2-3% in the immediate reaction to the OPEC+’s historic decision to cut oil output by 9.7 million barrels a day, just shy of the initial proposal of 10 million bpd. Though the reaction hasn’t been great, I think crude prices will likely climb …

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Risk ON

Things have settled down with global stock indices extending their advance following Monday’s big upsurge and risk-sensitive currencies are also pushing higher. Investors are betting that the coronavirus outbreak may have peaked and are ignoring the economic slump that we are in. They are hoping that with the death rate falling in parts of the …

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Stocks relinquish gains as jobless claims surge by 6.6 million

No one used to care about it, but now it is arguably the most important macro data. The weekly unemployment claims hit a new record as 6.6 million people applied for it, doubling from 3.3 million the week prior. As soon as the data came out, European stock indices and US index futures, which had …

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