Thanks to the actions of governments and central banks in response to coronavirus outbreak, investors have been piling into equities over the past several weeks despite the global economy being in a standstill. The rebound has been remarkable. The big question is what’s going to happen next: a continuation higher (to a new all-time high?) …
[Video] S&P 500 arrives at KEY technical area after strong recovery Read More »
Crude oil prices jumped 5% at the Asian open then fell around 2-3% in the immediate reaction to the OPEC+’s historic decision to cut oil output by 9.7 million barrels a day, just shy of the initial proposal of 10 million bpd. Though the reaction hasn’t been great, I think crude prices will likely climb …
Crude oil likely bottomed amid OPEC+ historic deal Read More »
Here is my latest analysis on gold – sorry about the background/kids noise, working from home!
Things have settled down with global stock indices extending their advance following Monday’s big upsurge and risk-sensitive currencies are also pushing higher. Investors are betting that the coronavirus outbreak may have peaked and are ignoring the economic slump that we are in. They are hoping that with the death rate falling in parts of the …
No one used to care about it, but now it is arguably the most important macro data. The weekly unemployment claims hit a new record as 6.6 million people applied for it, doubling from 3.3 million the week prior. As soon as the data came out, European stock indices and US index futures, which had …
Stocks relinquish gains as jobless claims surge by 6.6 million Read More »
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The price of oil is falling sharply again today after a few days of consolidation. The reason is simple: there is a massive imbalance of historic proportions. Global demand has slumped because of the covid-19-related lockdown. Supply, which was already higher than needed, is currently excessive to say the least as Saudi, Russia and the …
After a nice recovery over the last few days, investors will be wondering whether the selling is about to resume again in this bear market. With a growing number of countries in lockdown and the virus still spreading rapidly in Europe and the US, it is very difficult to be optimistic about the global economic …
Stocks likely to face stiff resistance despite stimulus measures Read More »
The Federal Reserve threw the kitchen sink at the problem caused by the coronavirus outbreak today and although the markets initially welcomed the news, the gains have since evaporated. The market’s reaction should not come as a surprise given that we have seen similar responses to other stimulus packages announced by central banks and governments …
Stocks shrugs off Fed’s unlimited Treasury buying pledge Read More »
Despite ongoing risk off tone in the equity and commodity markets, the USD/JPY has been rallying sharply amid widespread dollar strength. But rates have now arrived at a key technical juncture. What happens next is important: a break above the resistance zone could pave the way for further sharp gains, while a rejection here could …
