coronavirus

EUR/USD in reversal as dollar comes back to life

Following Thursday’s big falls for equities (because of concerns over economic recovery and new infections), the dollar has come back to life on haven flows. With the dollar extending its gains this late in the day on Friday, it looks set to extend its advance against the likes of the euro and pound next week. …

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[Video] Silver heading to $19?

After its vicious falls during the height of the coronavirus pandemic, silver’s recovery has been remarkable. Demand concerns were initially replaced by supply worries, causing prices to bounce back, before the rally took hold on easing of lockdown measures alleviating some of these concerns. Giving silver an additional boost has been the actions of governments …

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Will gold hold THIS pivotal level?

Gold has been stuck in an ugly range for several weeks now. But more recently, the pressure has been growing for a downside breakdown as stocks surged on lockdown easing hopes and amid central bank support. Today, the metal was testing a key support level, and traders were wondering whether support will hold given the …

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Crude oil likely bottomed amid OPEC+ historic deal

Crude oil prices jumped 5% at the Asian open then fell around 2-3% in the immediate reaction to the OPEC+’s historic decision to cut oil output by 9.7 million barrels a day, just shy of the initial proposal of 10 million bpd. Though the reaction hasn’t been great, I think crude prices will likely climb …

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Risk ON

Things have settled down with global stock indices extending their advance following Monday’s big upsurge and risk-sensitive currencies are also pushing higher. Investors are betting that the coronavirus outbreak may have peaked and are ignoring the economic slump that we are in. They are hoping that with the death rate falling in parts of the …

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Stocks relinquish gains as jobless claims surge by 6.6 million

No one used to care about it, but now it is arguably the most important macro data. The weekly unemployment claims hit a new record as 6.6 million people applied for it, doubling from 3.3 million the week prior. As soon as the data came out, European stock indices and US index futures, which had …

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Crude oil heading to $20?

The price of oil is falling sharply again today after a few days of consolidation. The reason is simple: there is a massive imbalance of historic proportions. Global demand has slumped because of the covid-19-related lockdown. Supply, which was already higher than needed, is currently excessive to say the least as Saudi, Russia and the …

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Stocks likely to face stiff resistance despite stimulus measures

After a nice recovery over the last few days, investors will be wondering whether the selling is about to resume again in this bear market. With a growing number of countries in lockdown and the virus still spreading rapidly in Europe and the US, it is very difficult to be optimistic about the global economic …

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Stocks shrugs off Fed’s unlimited Treasury buying pledge

The Federal Reserve threw the kitchen sink at the problem caused by the coronavirus outbreak today and although the markets initially welcomed the news, the gains have since evaporated. The market’s reaction should not come as a surprise given that we have seen similar responses to other stimulus packages announced by central banks and governments …

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EUR/USD dumped on ECB stimulus, Coronavirus

Following ECB’s decision to announce a massive, open-ended, €750 billion asset purchase programme in an effort to mitigate the economic impact of the virus outbreak, the EUR/USD has nosedived. Already under pressure because of a rallying US dollar, this package was the final nail in the coffin for the single currency. If it stays below …

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